Saint -Luis Cardinals as part of a shift in philosophy, which was sometimes called a “reset” and simply “transition” to others, tried to exchange a veteran of the third bottom of Nolan Arenado in the last off -season. These efforts, of course, were not successful.
Without a doubt, the front office in the service to reduce wages wanted to exchange other veterans, but the isnado was the only one who said that he would think to abandon his full offer without trade for the right situation. Cardinals and Houston Astros were deeply negotiated, but the deal fell apart when Arianado refused to approve the trade. To hear this, an Arenado says this, he never applied his point to block the deal in Houston, but rather he wanted to think more time – more time than Astros allowed.
About one month in the season of 2025, an isnado is still a cardinal. Nevertheless, the probability that he will ultimately be exchanged from Saint -Luis remains. Recently, MLB.com has held questions and answers with Arenado, which included the following corresponding exchange:
Mlb.com: You are a veteran of this club. Do you think you will be with cardinals to lead these guys?
Arenado: I don’t know. Let’s see. We are playing hard now. I think we are doing a good job. We still need to win a little more, compete a little better. I hope we can get to the (winning) strip here. If not, I would suggest that they would like to allow these young guys to run and leave.
I know that they do not feel that I am on the way, but at the same time, sooner or later you must make a decision. I do not mean this badly, but I am not part of their plans for the future. I’m older. This is only part of this. When I say plans for the future, I am talking about the next five years, plus. I understand that. I hope we win so that we can add on time. If not, I assume that some questions will arise.
Speaking about “Let (ting), these young guys run and leave”, in terms of the cardinals of the post-arerendado, Nolan Gorman was established as the third lower class, and the shift of Brendan Donovan with super-powerfulness to become the main second lower. The return of Arenado to the cardinals with the help of unrealized trade complicated these goals and squeezed the time of the horman. There is another difficult list for the manager of Oliver Marmol, and there are not many clear and unhindered ways to regular game time for young attacking cardinals.
So that has changed because the arenado and the cardinals are concerned? Yes, maybe. First of all, Arenado still enjoyed the rebound on the plate. Potentially interested teams, no doubt, were away from the side gaze after the 2024 season, in which he continued the decline of decline on the plate, and behind all this showed the worst indicators of his career. When an arenado approached its mid-1930s, the concern about the steep decline was real. Until now, in 2025 there are some reasons for optimism on this front.
Currently, the arenado reduces 0.268/.375/. This is all good for OPS+ out of 126, which is a steep increase compared to last year’s 102 OPS+. It is also encouraging that the arenado, after the off -season dedicated to a more explosive, rapid power training, significantly increased the speed of its bat and almost doubled its speed of fast vibrations (that is, a swing that recorded 75 miles per hour or more). At the same time, he remains an elite in connection with the contact -Arenado is in the 99th percentile among the MLB attackers in terms of impact level and 85th percentile at a price. No, the expected figures of the arenado do not coincide with its real numbers, but he has a long story of their blow.
His field at the third base remains the elite. From the point of view of StatCast outputs above average, it is located in the 95th percentile of field performances, and baseball information solutions evaluate its 13th of 93 players to appear on the third base this season in protective runs. He is still a difference in glove, and there is a big reason to believe that he arrested his decline on a plate at least at the moment.
As for the Arenado contract, this remains a leading consideration. Of course, there is a full provision on inaction, and his deal calls for him to pay a balance of $ 32 million this season, $ 27 million in 2026 and $ 15 million in 2027. The former Arenado team, The Colorado Rockies, will pay $ 5 million from his salary this year and in 2026. Removing duties, and toughened, and toughened, and toughened, and toughened, and during the level, and toughened, and toughened, and toughened, and toughened, and toughened, and throughout all, and throughout the level. Million before the 2027 season. In negotiations with Astros, the cardinals, in accordance with many messages, were ready to launch about $ 15 million in cash – in fact, the cost of an additional year Saint -Luis added to the Arenado contract in April 2021. If this remains so, then any team trade for Arenado must determine that it costs about $ 45 million, with various tranches, including the money -defered.
Another aspect of this is the cardinals and their place in the standings. If this was a strong start in 2025, this could abandon them to trade in Arianado during the season. However, no matter how they are, this is not so. Cardinals are currently 10-14 and in fourth place in the National Central League (+1400 to win the division, at Caesars). Of course, at the end of April, 4 ½ games at the end of April are unlikely to be equated with being buried, but we will consider the circumstances. The power of NL is such that it is very likely that three offers of wild cards will come from a certain combination of the NL West and NL East commands. This means that the most likely path of the cardinals to relevance is through the division race, but now the Chicago cubs look like a distant and in the distance of the best team in this highway. They are at a pace for 97 victories, and they created this strong start, despite the fact that MLB today play on the most difficult schedule. Cardinals, meanwhile, occupy 22nd place in terms of graphics, which means that their road ahead will be much more complicated than in Chicago. Sportsline right now gives the cardinals a chance to make a postsezon at 2.1%, and although this is perhaps a little light, this is not too much.
All this suggests that the two factors that are most important for maintaining a living trading market arenado are improved offensive indicators from the arenado and poor results at the level of the team for Saint -Luis – in trend in the necessary directions. It is too speculative to get into the specifics for trade, but it is worth noting a couple of situations. One of them, New York Yankees, who hire a close friend of Arenado and a former teammate of the cardinals Paul Goldshmidt, can still consider him as an update over Oswaldo Cabrera on the third base. In addition, this season Phillis Phillis received miserable contributions from the third bottom of Alec Bom (he takes 0.508 OPS in Slate on Wednesday), and they need to increase the composition on the hard NL East. In another place, if the struggle of Max Mansi remains, then the dodge of the Los -Ageles can be a command for control. Of course, everything is smooth.
Things should crystallize further when we are approaching the extreme trade date on July 31, but now the potential for the exciting heading of the transaction, which sends an arenado from St. Louis, seems very large in the game.
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